IEA predicts oil price fall in 2026 due to oversupply

The International Energy Agency (IEA) expects oil prices to fall significantly next year due to oversupply and declining demand. ANP reports.
According to a recent IEA report, the figures “point to weak demand in major economies”. “As consumer confidence remains low, a sharp rebound seems unlikely for the time being,” it says.
The agency expects the price of a barrel of Brent oil, the benchmark for Middle East and North Sea oil, to fall to $58 next year. By comparison, this year the average price is $69. For motorists, this could be an advantage at the pump.
However, the price of petrol in the Netherlands risks becoming more expensive next year if politicians do not intervene, writes the ANP. From 1 January, a discount on excise duty will expire, which could cause a litre of petrol to rise 25 cents in price all at once. Former infrastructure minister Barry Madlener earlier called on the House of Representatives to take action. If there are no plans for a solution by Budget Day, the excise duty increase will go ahead. Avoiding the excise increase will cost €1.6 billion, according to an earlier estimate.
The IEA further expects global oil supply to rise to 2.1 million barrels per day this year. Earlier, the advisory body assumed 1.8 million barrels per day. According to the agency, global oil markets are likely to face a record surplus next year. “It is clear that something will have to be done to balance the market,” the IEA stated.
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